SignalMacro

CBOE Nasdaq Volatility $20.18 ↓ 1.0% 8th %ile (extreme_greed) • KXNASDAQ100Y 4.5% — 18,999.99 or below

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 4.5% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 19000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

What changed

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 4.5% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 19000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? Percentile: 8th in 90d range | Regime: extreme_greed

Why it matters

Nasdaq volatility at 8th percentile signals extreme greed, with Kalshi pricing 4.5% odds below 19,000.

Sources

futures